Happy holidays for luxury London property
Prolonged stamp duty break leads to record sales. Find out what’s happening where you live or where you’re looking.
Happy holidays for luxury London property
Prolonged stamp duty break leads to record sales. Find out what’s happening where you live or where you’re looking.
143.8%
Rise in number of properties put up for sale since the same time last year
151 days
Number of days it’s taking to sell, compared to 170 days in the second quarter of 2020
2.9%
Price increase since the first three months of this year
143.8%
Rise in number of properties put up for sale since the same time last year
151 days
Number of days it’s taking to sell, compared to 170 days in the second quarter of 2020
2.9%
Price increase since the first three months of this year
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Overview
chapter 01
Overview
Buyers seeking high-end London homes picked up properties in their droves after the government extended its stamp duty holiday earlier this year.
More properties worth £1 million or more sold in the capital from April to June than any other three-month period since our records began in 2013.
The number of sales – 994 – was over 11% higher than the previous peak in 2014, when the market was booming, and up almost 200% compared to Q2 2020. Although that’s after the market effectively shut down due to Covid.
Some of the sales hikes in specific areas are eye-popping. For example, the number of properties sold in Fulham & Earl’s Court was up 339% on the same time last year. Even if you take the pandemic out of the equation by comparing it to Q2 2019, it’s still up 60%.
All the latest numbers come from our quarterly review of the market – the Coutts London Prime Property Index (CLPPI) – which reveals what’s happening area-by-area (see below).
Considering your next move? Let Coutts help
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PRICES UP AND MORE PROPERTIES FOR SALE
The surge in activity contributed to price rises of almost 3% since the first three months of the year, albeit from low levels. And the number of prime properties on the market increased by a massive 143.8% since the same period last year.
In March, the government extended its stamp duty holiday from the end of that month to 30 June – the tax was suspended on the first £500,000 of sales. And now, until the end of September, it doesn’t kick in until after the first £250,000 of a sale – whereas it’s usually after the first £125,000.
Alan Higgins, Chief Investment Officer at Coutts, said that, while this certainly gave the market a boost, there were other factors at play too.
“The returning strength of residential property, in London and across the UK, is part of a global trend towards firmer prices as ultra-low interest rates overcome the economic dislocation of 2020.
Despite higher inflation, low interest rates are here to stay. And this, along with the strong economic recovery, is providing underlying support for property.”
Prices RISE AS LOCKDOWN LIFTS
Source: Coutts & Co, LonRes
SELLING FAST AND LOOKING GOOD FOR the REST OF THE YEAR
PROPERTIES ARE
SELLING FASTER
The number of days between listing and exchange fell from 170 days a year ago to 151 this year – an 11.3% drop.
THE MARKET REMAINS
ACTIVE GOING FORWARD
The number of properties under offer at the start of July was 23.6% higher than at the end of Q2 2020.
PRICES ARE RISING HIGHEST AT
THE LOWEST END OF THE MARKET
Homes selling for between £1 million and £2 million saw the biggest annual increase, up 4.9% on Q2 2020.
Buyers seeking high-end London homes picked up properties in their droves after the government extended its stamp duty holiday earlier this year.
More properties worth £1 million or more sold in the capital from April to June than any other three-month period since our records began in 2013.
The number of sales – 994 – was over 11% higher than the previous peak in 2014, when the market was booming, and up almost 200% compared to Q2 2020. Although that’s after the market effectively shut down due to Covid.
Some of the sales hikes in specific areas are eye-popping. For example, the number of properties sold in Fulham & Earl’s Court was up 339% on the same time last year. Even if you take the pandemic out of the equation by comparing it to Q2 2019, it’s still up 60%.
All the latest numbers come from our quarterly review of the market – the Coutts London Prime Property Index (CLPPI) – which reveals what’s happening area-by-area (see below).
Considering your next move? Let Coutts help
Our real estate team could help you find the perfect property. And our bespoke mortgage service means we could provide a mortgage that’s as unique as you are.
Or contact your private banker to find out how we could help you.
PRICES UP AND MORE PROPERTIES FOR SALE
The surge in activity contributed to price rises of almost 3% since the first three months of the year, albeit from low levels. And the number of prime properties on the market increased by a massive 143.8% since the same period last year.
In March, the government extended its stamp duty holiday from the end of that month to 30 June – the tax was suspended on the first £500,000 of sales. And now, until the end of September, it doesn’t kick in until after the first £250,000 of a sale – whereas it’s usually after the first £125,000.
Alan Higgins, Chief Investment Officer at Coutts, said that, while this certainly gave the market a boost, there were other factors at play too.
“The returning strength of residential property, in London and across the UK, is part of a global trend towards firmer prices as ultra-low interest rates overcome the economic dislocation of 2020.
Despite higher inflation, low interest rates are here to stay. And this, along with the strong economic recovery, is providing underlying support for property.”
Prices RISE AS LOCKDOWN LIFTS
Source: Coutts & Co, LonRes
12.9%
Prices are still 12.9% below the market peak of 2014
1.9%
Prices are up compared to Q2 2019
-0.3%
Prices fall since the same period 12 months ago
2.9%
But have picked up since the start of the year
SELLING FAST AND LOOKING GOOD FOR the REST OF THE YEAR
PROPERTIES ARE
SELLING FASTER
The number of days between listing and exchange fell from 170 days a year ago to 151 this year – an 11.3% drop.
THE MARKET REMAINS
ACTIVE GOING FORWARD
The number of properties under offer at the start of July was 23.6% higher than at the end of Q2 2020.
PRICES ARE RISING HIGHEST AT
THE LOWEST END OF THE MARKET
Homes selling for between £1 million and £2 million saw the biggest annual increase, up 4.9% on Q2 2020.
“The returning strength of residential property, in London and across the UK, is part of a global trend towards firmer prices.”
Alan Higgins, Chief Investment Officer, Coutts
STAMP DUTY BREAK BOOSTS LONDON LUXURY PROPERTY SALES
Source: Coutts & Co, LonRes, July 2021
Source: Coutts & Co, LonRes, July 2021
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Local Insights
Mayfair & St James’s
Marylebone & FitzroviaThe number of sales in Mayfair & St James’s was just 5.6% higher than in Q2 2019, with Marylebone & Fitzrovia seeing a 6.9% rise. This compares with an overall increase of 60.3% across all prime London. These areas were the only two to record an annual fall in prices in Q2 2021 – 5.8% in Mayfair & St James’s, 2.2% in Marylebone & Fitzrovia.
Kensington, Notting Hill & Holland Park
Bayswater & Maida ValeKensington, Notting Hill & Holland Park saw the highest annual growth in prices, up 9.2% in Q2 2021. The number of homes sold rose 43.6% compared to two years ago. Demand meant average discounts of 3.4% were the lowest of any prime London area this quarter. Similarly, Bayswater & Maida Vale saw prices rise 8.2% annually and sales increase 57.1% on Q1 2021.
Hammersmith & Chiswick
Battersea, Clapham & WandsworthHigh demand for larger family homes meant prices in Hammersmith & Chiswick rose 8.5% this quarter compared with Q2 2020. And the number of homes sold was up by a third since the first three months of the year. In Battersea, Clapham & Wandsworth, prices rose 7.1% compared to last year, and the number of sales was up 60% compared with two years ago.
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INTERACTIVE MAP AND POSTCODE SELECTOR
chapter 03
INTERACTIVE MAP AND POSTCODE SELECTOR
Pick an area and get a good look at its prime property market
As 2020 was such an extraordinary year, we’ve compared some figures with Q2 2019 as well to provide a fuller, more ‘like-for-like’ picture.
Map shows the average quarterly sales price per square foot (£) and the annual change (%)
Hampstead, Highgate, Barnet & Haringey
Stock levels here are the lowest of any area compared with 2019, down 17.6%. This follows 63.2% more sales in Q2 2021 than Q2 2019.
-121.4%
Annual sales volume growth
-7.2%
Average discount
3.6%
Annual gross rental yield
-121.4%
Annual sales volume growth
-7.2%
Average discount
3.6%
Annual gross rental yield
Q2 2021
Sold Property Price band Quarterly Average Sales £/Sq Ft Annual Change in price Time on market before sale (days) Number of properties under offer this quarter Average discount for sold stock Quarterly Sales Volumes Annual change in quarterly sales volumes <£1m £937 -4.8% 159 54 -7.2% 50 177.8% £1m - £10m £1,116 3.7% 162 42 -7.2% 62 121.4% £10m+ £2,641 n/a n/a 1 -7.0% 1 n/a Source: lonres st johns wood, regents park and primrose hill
Stock levels here fell again this quarter, down 17.5% annually, with the number of homes sold in Q2 2021 up 129.4% on Q2 2019.
233.3%
Annual sales volume growth
-8.1%
Average discount
3.2%
Annual gross rental yield
233.3%
Annual sales volume growth
-8.1%
Average discount
3.2%
Annual gross rental yield
Q2 2021
Sold Property Price band Quarterly Average Sales £/Sq Ft Annual Change in price Time on market before sale (days) Number of properties under offer this quarter Average discount for sold stock Quarterly Sales Volumes Annual change in quarterly sales volumes <£1m £935 -2.6% 172 45 -7.8% 71 238.1% £1m - £10m £1,446 3.8% 159 34 -8.1% 80 233.3% £10m+ £2,087 N/A 35 2 -6.2% 2 100% source: lonres Kings Cross & Islington
Stock levels here fell again this quarter, down 17.5% annually, with the number of homes sold in Q2 2021 up 129.4% on Q2 2019.
290.0%
Annual sales volume growth
-3.6%
Average discount
3.8%
Annual gross rental yield
290.0%
Annual sales volume growth
-3.6%
Average discount
3.8%
Annual gross rental yield
Q2 2021
Sold Property Price band Quarterly Average Sales £/Sq Ft Annual Change in price Time on market before sale (days) Number of properties under offer this quarter Average discount for sold stock Quarterly Sales Volumes Annual change in quarterly sales volumes <£1m £891 3.0% 165 48 -5.4% 44 120.0% £1m - £10m £1,055 1.4% 146 32 -3.6% 39 290.0% £10m+ n/a n/a n/a 0 n/a 0 N/A source: lonres Marylebone, Fitzrovia & Soho
At the end of June the number of properties under offer here was 56.3% higher than at the same point in 2019, suggesting activity could increase in the coming months.
244.4%
Annual sales volume growth
-9.8%
Average discount
3.1%
Annual gross rental yield
244.4%
Annual sales volume growth
-9.8%
Average discount
3.1%
Annual gross rental yield
Q2 2021
Sold Property Price band Quarterly Average Sales £/Sq Ft Annual Change in price Time on market before sale (days) Number of properties under offer this quarter Average discount for sold stock Quarterly Sales Volumes Annual change in quarterly sales volumes <£1m £1,301 0.9% 183 29 -6.6% 38 216.7% £1m - £10m £1,550 -2.2% 155 50 -9.8% 62 244.4% £10m+ n/a n/a n/a 0 n/a 0 n/a source: lonres Mayfair & St James's
Our most expensive market, with the average price exceeding £2,000 per square foot. But it’s also the only area where Q2 sales were lower than Q1 this year, down 5.0%.
58.3%
Annual sales volume growth
-9.1%
Average discount
2.7%
Annual gross rental yield
58.3%
Annual sales volume growth
-9.1%
Average discount
2.7%
Annual gross rental yield
Q2 2021
Sold Property Price band Quarterly Average Sales £/Sq Ft Annual Change in price Time on market before sale (days) Number of properties under offer this quarter Average discount for sold stock Quarterly Sales Volumes Annual change in quarterly sales volumes <£1m £1,491 13.0% 181 1 -13.4% 4 0.0% £1m - £10m £2,118 -5.8% 160 6 -9.1% 19 58.3% £10m+ £4,035 -10.6% n/a 0 -5.2% 1 0.0% source: lonres Knightsbridge & Belgravia
51.5% of properties sold here in Q2 2021 achieved £2 million or more – the only prime London area where this exceeded 50%.
84.6%
Annual sales volume growth
-8.7%
Average discount
2.8%
Annual gross rental yield
84.6%
Annual sales volume growth
-8.7%
Average discount
2.8%
Annual gross rental yield
Q2 2021
Sold Property Price band Quarterly Average Sales £/Sq Ft Annual Change in price Time on market before sale (days) Number of properties under offer this quarter Average discount for sold stock Quarterly Sales Volumes Annual change in quarterly sales volumes <£1m £1,303 24.8% 178 3 -9.4% 14 -75.0% £1m - £10m £1,833 0.5% 171 27 -8.7% 48 -84.6% £10m+ £2,179 -50.0% n/a 1 -18.6% 2 100.0% source: lonres pimlico, westminster & victoria
Having experienced the highest annual change in properties under offer in Q1, this area saw the highest annual change in sales in Q2, up 85.0% on the first three months of the year.
311.1%%
Annual sales volume growth
-7.8%
Average discount
3.3%
Annual gross rental yield
311.1%%
Annual sales volume growth
-7.8%
Average discount
3.3%
Annual gross rental yield
Q2 2021
Sold Property Price band Quarterly Average Sales £/Sq Ft Annual Change in price Time on market before sale (days) Number of properties under offer this quarter Average discount for sold stock Quarterly Sales Volumes Annual change in quarterly sales volumes <£1m £1,115 -4.9% 175 35 -7.2% 59 145.8% £1m - £10m £1,275 4.1% 175 29 -7.8% 37 311.1% £10m+ n/a n/a 237 1 n/a 1 0.0% source: lonres wimbledon, richmond, putney & barnes
The number of properties sold here in Q2 2021 was 70.8% higher than Q1.
115.8%
Annual sales volume growth
-5.4%
Average discount
4.1%
Annual gross rental yield
115.8%
Annual gross rental yield
-5.4%
Annual sales volume growth
4.1%
Average discount
Q2 2021
Sold Property Price band Quarterly Average Sales £/Sq Ft Annual Change in price Time on market before sale (days) Number of properties under offer this quarter Average discount for sold stock Quarterly Sales Volumes Annual change in quarterly sales volumes <£1m £712 3.6% 153 126 -5.8% 144 289.2% £1m - £10m £814 2.1% 144 40 -5.4% 41 115.8% £10m+ n/a n/a n/a 0 n/a 0 n/a source: lonres Battersea, Clapham and Wandsworth
Still one of the best performing areas this quarter with a 7.1% annual increase in prices.
178.3%
Annual sales volume growth
-5.0%
Average discount
4.1%
Annual gross rental yield
178.3%
Annual sales volume growth
-5.0%
Average discount
4.1%
Annual gross rental yield
Q2 2021
Sold Property Price band Quarterly Average Sales £/Sq Ft Annual Change in price Time on market before sale (days) Number of properties under offer this quarter Average discount for sold stock Quarterly Sales Volumes Annual change in quarterly sales volumes <£1m £776 10.6% 162 204 -6.0% 253 328.8% £1m - £10m £836 7.1% 167 53 -5.0% 64 178.3% £10m+ n/a n/a n/a 1 n/a 0 n/a Source: LonRes Fulham & Earls Court
This area saw the most significant increase in the number of properties on the market – up 38.5% on Q2 2020 and 56.0% higher than Q2 2019.
338.5%
Annual sales volume growth
-5.6%
Average discount
3.6%
Annual gross rental yield
338.5%
Annual sales volume growth
-5.6%
Average discount
3.6%
Annual gross rental yield
Q2 2021
Sold Property Price band Quarterly Average Sales £/Sq Ft Annual Change in price Time on market before sale (days) Number of properties under offer this quarter Average discount for sold stock Quarterly Sales Volumes Annual change in quarterly sales volumes <£1m £952 2.5% 155 91 -5.5% 141 314.7% £1m - £10m £1,067 0.0% 128 86 -5.6% 114 338.5% £10m+ n/a n/a n/a 0 n/a 0 n/a Source: lonres Chelsea
Prices here were 6.4% higher this quarter than 12 months ago, making this one of London’s best performing prime markets.
102.2%
Annual sales volume growth
-6.5%
Average discount
2.8%
Annual gross rental yield
102.2%
Annual sales volume growth
-6.5%
Average discount
2.8%
Annual gross rental yield
Q2 2021
Sold Property Price band Quarterly Average Sales £/Sq Ft Annual Change in price Time on market before sale (days) Number of properties under offer this quarter Average discount for sold stock Quarterly Sales Volumes Annual change in quarterly sales volumes <£1m £1,183 4.9% 181 45 -8.8% 76 245.5% £1m - £10m £1,714 6.4% 154 68 -6.5% 91 102.2% £10m+ £2,606 -27.7% 196 0 -5.2% 4 300.0% Source: lonres Hammersmith & Chiswick
Price growth of 8.5% over the last 12 months makes this the second best performing prime London area this quarter.
278.6%
Annual sales volume growth
-3.5%
Average discount
3.7%
Annual gross rental yield
278.6%
Annual sales volume growth
-3.5%
Average discount
3.7%
Annual gross rental yield
Q2 2021
Sold Property Price band Quarterly Average Sales £/Sq Ft Annual Change in price Time on market before sale (days) Number of properties under offer this quarter Average discount for sold stock Quarterly Sales Volumes Annual change in quarterly sales volumes <£1m £829 3.1% 166 72 -7.7% 83 219.2% £1m - £10m £870 8.5% 131 56 -3.5% 53 278.6% £10m+ n/a n/a n/a 0 n/a 0 n/a Source: lonres south kensington
Prices here rose 5.4% compared with Q1 2021, with 43.8% of properties sold for £2 million or more this quarter.
240.0%
Annual sales volume growth
-9.1%
Average discount
2.6%
Annual gross rental yield
240.0%
Annual sales volume growth
-9.1%
Average discount
2.6%
Annual gross rental yield
Q2 2021
Sold Property Price band Quarterly Average Sales £/Sq Ft Annual Change in price Time on market before sale (days) Number of properties under offer this quarter Average discount for sold stock Quarterly Sales Volumes Annual change in quarterly sales volumes <£1m £1,112 -20.6% 120 8 -9.3% 12 100.0% £1m - £10m £1,732 2.4% 180 26 -9.1% 51 240.0% £10m+ £2,885 n/a n/a 3 9.1% 1 n/a source: lonres Kensington, Notting Hill & Holland Park
This area recorded the highest annual increase in achieved prices this quarter, up 9.2% on Q2 2020.
353.1%
Annual sales volume growth
-3.4%
Average discount
3.2%
Annual gross rental yield
353.1%
Annual sales volume growth
-3.4%
Average discount
3.2%
Annual gross rental yield
Q2 2021
Sold Property Price band Quarterly Average Sales £/Sq Ft Annual Change in price Time on market before sale (days) Number of properties under offer this quarter Average discount for sold stock Quarterly Sales Volumes Annual change in quarterly sales volumes <£1m £1,043 3.6% 173 63 -6.8% 119 158.7% £1m - £10m £1,482 9.2% 144 80 -3.4% 145 353.1% £10m+ £3,061 37.4% 321 2 1.4% 8 100.0% Source: lonres Bayswater & Maida Vale
Prices here rose 8.2% this quarter compared with Q2 2020, with sales up 57% on Q1 2021.
166.7%
Annual sales volume growth
-8.0%
Average discount
3.4%
Annual gross rental yield
166.7%
Annual sales volume growth
-8.0%
Average discount
3.4%
Annual gross rental yield
Q2 2021
Sold Property Price band Quarterly Average Sales £/Sq Ft Annual Change in price Time on market before sale (days) Number of properties under offer this quarter Average discount for sold stock Quarterly Sales Volumes Annual change in quarterly sales volumes <£1m £999 11.4% 162 58 -7.5% 121 404.2% £1m - £10m £1,252 8.2% 147 57 -8.0% 88 166.7% £10m+ n/a n/a n/a 1 n/a 1 -50.0% Source: lonres
Your home or property may be repossessed if you do not keep up repayments on your mortgage. Changes in the exchange rate may increase the sterling equivalent of your debt (multi-currency debt only).
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Source of data in the report: LonRes Q2 2021.